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Hughes Software outperforms the rest of tech sector

Saturday, March 13, 2004

The stock price of New Delhi-based Hughes Software has risen over 30% in the last couple of months, bucking the bearish trend in the overall tech sector.

From a recent low of Rs 491 touched on 22 January, the stock price of Hughes Software Systems (HSS) has risen over 30% to Rs 638.60 on 12 March. While the 30-share BSE Sensitive Index (Sensex) has gained 1.90%, the BSE IT Sector Index has lost 4.88% in the same period. The HSS stock touched its 33-month high of Rs 672 in the intra-day trades on 27 February. Over a longer period, From a low of Rs 159.40 touched on 15 April 2003, the HSS stock has risen 300.62% on sustained buying interest.

Meanwhile, most tech stocks have been trading weak of late, tracking recent weakness in the US markets. Besides, sentiment towards the tech sector remains edgy amid growing opposition to the outsourcing of jobs.
Ahead of the presidential and legislative elections (in November 2004), the US Senate on Thursday voted to bar federal contractors from using taxpayers' money to move American jobs offshore. The measure, aimed at preventing outsourcing of US jobs to countries like India and corporations using tax havens, was approved by a strong majority of 70 to 26 votes. If signed into a law, this will stop the movement of the US government contracts for goods and services, and state government contact work that use Federal funds.

Players feel that the backlash against outsourcing will continue and domestic funds and institutional investors may churn their portfolios to reduce their exposure to tech sector in the short-term.

Recently, there were rumours that the Rupert Murdoch-controlled media conglomerate News Corp is looking for a strategic investor to sell its controlling stake in HSS. There were talks that News Corp may be looking for a strategic investor as software services does not fit in with its media and cable business, and HSS came in its fold by way of a global takeover. Rumours have been also that Wipro Technologies, with substantial exposure in the telecoms vertical, may make a bid.

HSS, specialising in software for telecom companies, will be entering other areas, the first being development of solutions and services for mobile handsets. A leading South Korean phone maker and Thuraya Satellite Phones have commenced using HSS technologies.

HSS has already developed solutions in the telecom technology areas of 3G, Spaceway and SIP. Telecom verticals contribute a major part of the revenue of HSS. The emerging trends in the global telecom technologies such as
Wi-Fi and 3G have opened opportunities within the telecom handsets industry. HSS, with expertise in the embedded software segment, is rightly place to take advantage of the opportunity. The company is developing
communication applications in the GSM and 3G arena on leading mobile platforms such as Symbian, Windows CE and Linux.

HSS plans to develop band-end solutions for network equipment manufacturers, system integrators and telecom service providers to build its capabilities in the handset market. Having succeeded in their products business in the last few years, HSS will raise the products business to approximately 20% of its revenues by 2004-05.

As per market talk, the recent rise in Hughes Software has been on huge accumulation from ICICI Securities and Reliance Mutual Fund. Both institutions are accumulating in anticipation of good future prospects on the back of a strong order book. The rise in orders has been due to the success of the company's new solution, launched in the telecom vertical
segment.

For the third quarter ended 31 December 2003, the company reported a massive 110% rise in net profit to Rs 23.9 crore (Rs 11.4 crore) on a 67.45% increase in total income to Rs 98.8 crore (Rs 59 crore). On quarter-on-quarter basis, net profit increased 41.4% from Rs 16.9 crore in SQ-2003. On the current equity share capital of Rs 16.83 crore, earnings per share (EPS), on an annualised basis, works out to Rs 56.8.

Incidentally, the 110% rise in net profit surpassed Hughes Software's own guidance. The company had estimated profits to grow 60-65% and sales to increase by around 55-60%.

Following the impressive performance, Hughes Software has now revised upwards its guidance for FY-2004. The company has increased its profit guidance to 80%, from 60-70%. It expects sales to grow in the range of 55-60%.



Last updated : March 26, 2004

 

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